The death of King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, at the age of 90, beckoned a cautiously orchestrated transition of power to his successor Salman in the Al Saud dynasty that holds power in the nation. King Salman has pledged that the succession would be managed smoothly, with continuity in policies and stability in internal as well as foreign relations. Given the rising violence and political instability in the region, and the glut in oil supply and consequent fall in prices, this transition of power is a critical moment. Salman, who has been crown prince since 2012, is now 79 years old and not in the best of health. Clearing any sort of uncertainty, Prince Muqrin, followed by Prince Mohammed bin Nayef, 55, have been declared the crown prince to succeed King Salman. Although the monarchic succession plan seems to be clearly mapped out, the House of Saud is said to be riven by factions and internal feuds. Whether order will prevail within the royal family is hard to speculate, given the secretive nature of its internal affairs.
The transition of power is happening
at a time when politics in the region is beset with uncertainty.
Sunni-dominated Saudi Arabia and Shia-dominated Iran, with their decades of
rivalry, are closely following the turmoil in Yemen since the resignation of
President Abdrabbuh Mansour Hadi. The Shiite rebel group Houthi, suspected to
have affiliations with Iran, has often accused Saudi Arabia of meddling in the
country’s internal affairs. Riyadh has been praised for its effective
counter-terrorism activities, especially with the Islamic State-dominated Iraq
on its northern borders. Saudi Arabia continues to have favourable strategic
partnerships with the United States, the United Kingdom and Europe. Even with
the global glut in supply, King Salman is likely to continue pumping crude,
keeping prices low, with no apparent intention to alter policies anytime soon.
India maintains significant economic ties with Saudi Arabia, which is its
biggest supplier of oil, accounting for 20.18 per cent of the imports in
2013-14. India accounts for 11 per cent of Saudi Arabia’s exports and 7.2 per
cent of its imports. Remittances from Indians in Saudi Arabia amount to a substantial
sum. From a socio-economic perspective, India has a lot at stake in the
stability of the country. Given the centrality of Saudi Arabia to western
economic interests, the West has often treated the country as an exception when
it comes to human rights issues. The fact is that Saudi Arabia has an
incredibly poor record in the matter of ensuring civil and political rights.
Public flogging, beheading, and a general climate of intolerance are hallmarks
of its criminal justice system. Women still do not have even the fundamental
rights of speech, movement and assembly.